Brexit Talks: What Will We Know in Autumn 2018?

The UK’s exit negotiations from the EU will concentrate on separate withdrawal and trade deals, and timing will be a crucial factor, writes Kirsty Hughes. She argues that autumn 2018 will serve as a key period where enough about the UK-EU negotiations will be known and pressure will mount for the constitutional options and implications […]

An Independent Scotland and the EU: What Route to Membership?

In the event of independence, how might Scotland pursue EU membership? Kirsty Hughes and Tobias Lock explore the principal options, arguing that ensuring Scotland’s continuity with EU laws and policy would ultimately be more important than attempting to secure a fast-tracked route to membership, which would be completed in any case after Brexit. Extended Article […]

Soft or Hard Brexit: Do the Political Parties Know What They Want?

The varying stances within and among the UK’s parties on the shape of Brexit makes the parliamentary politics around it unpredictable, writes Kirsty Hughes. She argues that, while parliament may well vote to remain in the EU Customs Union but not in the Single Market, the trend is towards a hard Brexit and indeed the […]

The UK Gives up Foreign Policy Role and Influence, Post-Brexit

While much of the discussion around Brexit has focused on the Single Market and trading arrangements, foreign policy is another essential area that will be redefined by EU withdrawal, writes Kirsty Hughes. She argues that the UK will have minimal influence in the strategic direction of the EU, and that its emerging mercantilist foreign policy […]

Scotland in the Single Market, rUK Out – What Would It Take?

If Scotland is to remain in the Single Market while the rest of the UK leaves it, substantial political and technical challenges would need to be overcome, writes Kirsty Hughes. She outlines the key questions facing Scotland’s continued participation in the Single Market and argues that, until the UK’s full post-Brexit relationship with the EU […]

Scotland and Brexit – Outlook Worsens as Options Narrow

Both hard Brexit and soft Brexit scenarios each present their own challenges for the UK, writes Kirsty Hughes. She suggests that, for Scotland, it is almost certain that it will exit the EU with the rest of the UK, and that, in the event of independence, the question then becomes whether Scotland would rejoin the EU. […]

Three Scenarios for the Outcome of the UK’s EU Referendum

The result of the UK’s referendum on EU membership will have significant implications for the country’s relationship with the rest of Europe and its own constitutional future, writes Kirsty Hughes. She argues that, whatever the outcome of the vote, the impact on the UK is likely to be substantial, long-term and broadly negative. Extended Article […]

How Could Scotland Protect its EU Links After Brexit?

It is often presumed that Scotland will continue to be part of the EU, either through a UK-wide vote to remain in the EU referendum or by joining the EU after a successful second independence referendum, writes Kirsty Hughes. She argues, however, that it is possible that Scotland could find itself outside the EU following […]